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Q2(iii):
Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain. (iii) A trial is made to answer a true-false question. The answer is right or wrong.
Solution :
Given: A trial is conducted to answer a true-false question. The possible outcomes are that the answer is either 'right' or 'wrong'.
To Find: Determine whether the outcomes of this experiment are 'equally likely' and provide a logical explanation.
Definition: Outcomes of an experiment are said to be equally likely if each outcome has the same probability of occurring. In a sample space $S$, if $P(A) = P(B) = \dots = P(n)$, then the outcomes are equally likely.
Step 1: Identifying the Sample Space
Let the possible outcomes of the experiment be represented by the set $S$.
$S = \{ \text{Right}, \text{Wrong} \}$
The total number of possible outcomes is $n(S) = 2$.
Step 2: Analyzing the Nature of the Experiment
In a true-false question, the correctness of the answer depends on the knowledge or the choice of the person answering the question. Unlike a fair coin toss where the physical properties of the coin ensure a $50\%$ chance for heads or tails, the probability of answering a true-false question correctly is dependent on external factors:
- If the person knows the subject matter, the probability of answering 'Right' is significantly higher than 'Wrong'.
- If the person is guessing, the probability might be $0.5$ for each.
- If the person is uninformed, the probability of answering 'Wrong' might be higher.
Step 3: Evaluating the Condition for Equally Likely Outcomes
For the outcomes to be equally likely, the probability of getting the answer 'Right' ($P(R)$) must equal the probability of getting the answer 'Wrong' ($P(W)$).
$P(R) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes for Right}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}$
$P(W) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes for Wrong}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}$
Since the probability of answering correctly is not inherently fixed at $0.5$ for every individual or every question (as it is not a random physical process like tossing a balanced die), we cannot assume $P(R) = P(W) = 0.5$.
Step 4: Conclusion
Because the likelihood of the answer being 'Right' or 'Wrong' depends on the knowledge of the person answering the question and is not determined by a uniform random process, the outcomes are not necessarily equally likely.
Final Answer: The outcomes are not equally likely because the probability of answering correctly depends on the knowledge of the person attempting the question, and it is not a random event with a fixed probability of $0.5$ for each outcome.
More Questions from Class 10 Mathematics Probability EXERCISE 14.1
- Q1(i): Complete the following statements: (i) Probability of an event $E$ + Probability of the event ‘not $E$’ = .
- Q1(ii): Complete the following statements: (ii) The probability of an event that cannot happen is . Such an event is called .
- Q1(iii): Complete the following statements: (iii) The probability of an event that is certain to happen is . Such an event is called .
- Q1(iv): Complete the following statements: (iv) The sum of the probabilities of all the elementary events of an experiment is .
- Q1(v): Complete the following statements: (v) The probability of an event is greater than or equal to and less than or equal to .
- Q10(i): A piggy bank contains hundred 50p coins, fifty ` 1 coins, twenty ` 2 coins and ten ` 5 coins. If it is equally likely that one of the coins will fall out when the bank is turned upside down, what is the probability that the coin (i) will be a 50 p coin ?
- Q10(ii): A piggy bank contains hundred 50p coins, fifty ` 1 coins, twenty ` 2 coins and ten ` 5 coins. If it is equally likely that one of the coins will fall out when the bank is turned upside down, what is the probability that the coin (ii) will not be a ` 5 coin?
- Q11: Gopi buys a fish from a shop for his aquarium. The shopkeeper takes out one fish at random from a tank containing 5 male fish and 8 female fish (see Fig. 14.4). What is the probability that the fish taken out is a male fish?
- Q12(i): A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 (see Fig. 14.5 ), and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at (i) 8 ?
- Q12(ii): A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 (see Fig. 14.5 ), and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at (ii) an odd number?
- Q12(iii): A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 (see Fig. 14.5 ), and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at (iii) a number greater than 2?
- Q12(iv): A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 (see Fig. 14.5 ), and these are equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that it will point at (iv) a number less than 9?
- Q13(i): A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting (i) a prime number;
- Q13(ii): A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting (ii) a number lying between 2 and 6;
- Q13(iii): A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting (iii) an odd number.
- Q14(i): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (i) a king of red colour
- Q14(ii): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (ii) a face card
- Q14(iii): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (iii) a red face card
- Q14(iv): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (iv) the jack of hearts
- Q14(v): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (v) a spade
- Q14(vi): One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting (vi) the queen of diamonds
- Q15(i): Five cards—the ten, jack, queen, king and ace of diamonds, are well-shuffled with their face downwards. One card is then picked up at random. (i) What is the probability that the card is the queen?
- Q15(ii)(a): Five cards—the ten, jack, queen, king and ace of diamonds, are well-shuffled with their face downwards. One card is then picked up at random. (ii) If the queen is drawn and put aside, what is the probability that the second card picked up is (a) an ace?
- Q15(ii)(b): Five cards—the ten, jack, queen, king and ace of diamonds, are well-shuffled with their face downwards. One card is then picked up at random. (ii) If the queen is drawn and put aside, what is the probability that the second card picked up is (b) a queen?
- Q16: 12 defective pens are accidentally mixed with 132 good ones. It is not possible to just look at a pen and tell whether or not it is defective. One pen is taken out at random from this lot. Determine the probability that the pen taken out is a good one.
- Q17(i): (i) A lot of 20 bulbs contain 4 defective ones. One bulb is drawn at random from the lot. What is the probability that this bulb is defective?
- Q17(ii): (ii) Suppose the bulb drawn in (i) is not defective and is not replaced. Now one bulb is drawn at random from the rest. What is the probability that this bulb is not defective ?
- Q18(i): A box contains 90 discs which are numbered from 1 to 90. If one disc is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that it bears (i) a two-digit number
- Q18(ii): A box contains 90 discs which are numbered from 1 to 90. If one disc is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that it bears (ii) a perfect square number
- Q18(iii): A box contains 90 discs which are numbered from 1 to 90. If one disc is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that it bears (iii) a number divisible by 5.
- Q19(i): A child has a die whose six faces show the letters as given below: The die is thrown once. What is the probability of getting (i) A?
- Q19(ii): A child has a die whose six faces show the letters as given below: The die is thrown once. What is the probability of getting (ii) D?
- Q2(i): Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain. (i) A driver attempts to start a car. The car starts or does not start.
- Q2(ii): Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain. (ii) A player attempts to shoot a basketball. She/he shoots or misses the shot.
- Q2(iv): Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain. (iv) A baby is born. It is a boy or a girl.
- Q20: Suppose you drop a die at random on the rectangular region shown in Fig. 14.6. What is the probability that it will land inside the circle with diameter $1$m?
- Q21(i): A lot consists of 144 ball pens of which 20 are defective and the others are good. Nuri will buy a pen if it is good, but will not buy if it is defective. The shopkeeper draws one pen at random and gives it to her. What is the probability that (i) She will buy it ?
- Q21(ii): A lot consists of 144 ball pens of which 20 are defective and the others are good. Nuri will buy a pen if it is good, but will not buy if it is defective. The shopkeeper draws one pen at random and gives it to her. What is the probability that (ii) She will not buy it ?
- Q22(i): Refer to Example 13. (i) Complete the following table:
- Q22(ii): Refer to Example 13. (ii) A student argues that ‘there are 11 possible outcomes 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12. Therefore, each of them has a probability $\frac{1}{11}$. Do you agree with this argument? Justify your answer.
- Q23: A game consists of tossing a one rupee coin 3 times and noting its outcome each time. Hanif wins if all the tosses give the same result i.e., three heads or three tails, and loses otherwise. Calculate the probability that Hanif will lose the game.
- Q24(i): A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that (i) 5 will not come up either time? [Hint : Throwing a die twice and throwing two dice simultaneously are treated as the same experiment]
- Q24(ii): A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that (ii) 5 will come up at least once? [Hint : Throwing a die twice and throwing two dice simultaneously are treated as the same experiment]
- Q25(i): Which of the following arguments are correct and which are not correct? Give reasons for your answer. (i) If two coins are tossed simultaneously there are three possible outcomes—two heads, two tails or one of each. Therefore, for each of these outcomes, the probability is $\frac{1}{3}$.
- Q25(ii): Which of the following arguments are correct and which are not correct? Give reasons for your answer. (ii) If a die is thrown, there are two possible outcomes—an odd number or an even number. Therefore, the probability of getting an odd number is $\frac{1}{2}$.
- Q3: Why is tossing a coin considered to be a fair way of deciding which team should get the ball at the beginning of a football game?
- Q4: Which of the following cannot be the probability of an event?
- Q5: If $P(E) = 0.05$, what is the probability of ‘not $E$’?
- Q6(i): A bag contains lemon flavoured candies only. Malini takes out one candy without looking into the bag. What is the probability that she takes out (i) an orange flavoured candy?
- Q6(ii): A bag contains lemon flavoured candies only. Malini takes out one candy without looking into the bag. What is the probability that she takes out (ii) a lemon flavoured candy?
- Q7: It is given that in a group of 3 students, the probability of 2 students not having the same birthday is 0.992. What is the probability that the 2 students have the same birthday?
- Q8(i): A bag contains 3 red balls and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random from the bag. What is the probability that the ball drawn is (i) red ?
- Q8(ii): A bag contains 3 red balls and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random from the bag. What is the probability that the ball drawn is (ii) not red?
- Q9(i): A box contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles and 4 green marbles. One marble is taken out of the box at random. What is the probability that the marble taken out will be (i) red ?
- Q9(ii): A box contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles and 4 green marbles. One marble is taken out of the box at random. What is the probability that the marble taken out will be (ii) white ?
- Q9(iii): A box contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles and 4 green marbles. One marble is taken out of the box at random. What is the probability that the marble taken out will be (iii) not green?
CBSE Solutions for Class 10 Mathematics Probability
Chapters in CBSE - Class 10 Mathematics
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