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Q2(i):
Which of the following experiments have equally likely outcomes? Explain. (i) A driver attempts to start a car. The car starts or does not start.

Solution :

Given: An experiment where a driver attempts to start a car. The possible outcomes are defined as:
1. The car starts.
2. The car does not start.

To Find: Determine whether the outcomes of this experiment are "equally likely" and provide a logical explanation.

Definition: In probability theory, outcomes of an experiment are said to be equally likely if each outcome has the same probability of occurring. That is, if an experiment has $n$ possible outcomes, each outcome must have a probability of $\frac{1}{n}$.

Step 1: Analyzing the nature of the experiment
The experiment involves a mechanical process (starting a car). The outcome depends on various factors such as:
a) The condition of the car's battery.
b) The condition of the fuel system.
c) The condition of the ignition system.
d) The ambient temperature and maintenance history.

Step 2: Evaluating the probability of outcomes
Let $E_1$ be the event that the car starts.
Let $E_2$ be the event that the car does not start.
For the outcomes to be equally likely, we would require $P(E_1) = P(E_2) = 0.5$.

Step 3: Logical Deduction
In a real-world scenario, a car is designed to start. If the car is in good working condition, the probability of it starting ($P(E_1)$) is significantly higher than the probability of it not starting ($P(E_2)$). Conversely, if the car is broken, the probability of it not starting ($P(E_2)$) is significantly higher. Since the probability of the car starting is not necessarily equal to the probability of it not starting, the outcomes are dependent on external conditions rather than being inherently balanced.

Step 4: Conclusion
Since the likelihood of the car starting is not fixed at 50% and varies based on the mechanical state of the vehicle, the outcomes are not equally likely.

Final Answer: The outcomes are not equally likely because the probability of the car starting depends on various mechanical factors and is not necessarily equal to the probability of the car not starting.


More Questions from Class 10 Mathematics Probability EXERCISE 14.1


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