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Lesson Posted on 26 May Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Technical Analysis Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Commodities Trading +2 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Intraday Trading less

Nifty Time Cycles

Ninad Deshmukh

I am an entrepreneur who started 2 ventures in the Food sector. Right now I am a Full-time Stock Trader...

The following chart shows various time cycles on Nifty. What Happened? In 2019, Gann 90 year cycle completed. This cycle comes from 1839 depression followed by 1929 depression. In Feb-2020, 20-year cycle completed from Feb 2000 Top In Jan-2020, 144-month cycle completed from Top made in... read more

The following chart shows various time cycles on Nifty.

 

What Happened?

 

  • In 2019, Gann 90 year cycle completed. This cycle comes from 1839 depression followed by 1929 depression.
  • In Feb-2020, 20-year cycle completed from Feb 2000 Top
  • In Jan-2020, 144-month cycle completed from Top made in Jan-2008 before the 2008 financial crisis.
  • In Dec-2019, 3-year cycle completed from Low made in Dec-2016 post-Demonetisation.

So we saw a big fall as major cycles came together.

What next for Nifty?

  • In Oct-2020, 144-month cycle from Low made in Oct-2008 during the 2008 financial crisis, will complete
  • In Nov-2020, 10-year cycle from Top made in Nov-2010 will complete
  • In Dec-2020, 288-month cycle from Low made in Dec-1996 will complete
  • In Feb-2020, 60-month cycle from Low made in Feb-2016 will complete
  • In Feb-2020, 13-month cycle (it is observed Nifty makes Bottom from Top in 11-13 months) from Top made in Jan-2020 will complete
  • In Sep-2021, 20-year cycle from Low made in Sep-2001 will complete
  • In Dec-2021, 10-year cycle from Low made in Dec-2011 will complete.

So the probability of bottoms formation as per time cycles is Oct-Dec 2020, Feb 2020, and then Sep-Dec 2021 if the bear market continues for long.

Looking at the possible economic impact of the pandemic, the possibility of Oct-Dec low does not seems feasible; it may be a mid-term low. Only "TIME" will tell!

My Experience:

I was expecting a bottom in 2019 below or nearby Mar-2018 low, due to 90-year cycle completion. When the market started falling after the Corporate tax cut rally, I was almost sure that a low would form in 2019. But it did not happen, and the market went up. I was still bearish on the market and expecting fall. I was expecting a sharp fall but never thought it would be of such magnitude. 

So 90-year cycle impact I knew from the past, but experienced the first time and will not be alive to experience again. So knowing something and experiencing something is a quite different phenomenon altogether. That's Big learning!

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Lesson Posted on 25 May Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Technical Analysis Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading +1 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Commodities Trading less

Gann Angles & RSI Based Trade Set Up - Case Study - Bharti Airtel

Ninad Deshmukh

I am an entrepreneur who started 2 ventures in the Food sector. Right now I am a Full-time Stock Trader...

Bharti Airtel performed very well in the last 2 months. How this move was captured on Gann Angles and RSI set up is what this post is all about. Here I am posting the 3M chart of Bharti Airtel. RSI @ 3 months closing candle of Mar 2020 took support @ 60 zones. This was the starting point for a possible... read more

Bharti Airtel performed very well in the last 2 months. How this move was captured on Gann Angles and RSI set up is what this post is all about.

 

Here I am posting the 3M chart of Bharti Airtel. RSI @ 3 months closing candle of Mar 2020 took support @ 60 zones. This was the starting point for a possible bullish move in the next 3 months. So we will evaluate on a lower time frame i.e. monthly charts.

 

At the end of Mar, Monthly RSI was taking support @ 60 zones (actual value @ 58.67). So this reinforces 3M chart bullishness.

 

Gann Angles:

On Monthly Gann Angles Mar candle shows a sharp reversal from 45 degrees (1/1) angle, strong confirmation of bullishness.

 

 

So based on 3M and M-RSI and Monthly Gann Angles, we should take a bullish view and then look for an opportunity to enter on a weekly/daily time frame.

 

This is just a case study on how Gann Angles and RSI gives good trade set up. I found this opportunity in the middle of Apr, kept watch on it. I did not took trade in Bharti airtel.

 

What Next for Bharti Airtel?

 

It looks there is a strong resistance zone @ 620-640 where channel and trendline are present. So one needs to be cautious.

 

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Lesson Posted on 21 May Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading

Introduction to Gann Degree Numbers

Ninad Deshmukh

I am an entrepreneur who started 2 ventures in the Food sector. Right now I am a Full-time Stock Trader...

Introduction to Gann Degree Numbers If we study any chart of stock/index or any other asset class that is traded on stock exchanges, we will find that it moves from one specific number to another particular number. We can call those numbers as supports and resistances. Is there is any relation between... read more

Introduction to Gann Degree Numbers

If we study any chart of stock/index or any other asset class that is traded on stock exchanges, we will find that it moves from one specific number to another particular number. We can call those numbers as supports and resistances. Is there is any relation between these numbers or it is just a random move?

If we could find a relation between these numbers, then we can predict from a particular value where that asset is going to move. Gann Degree Numbers or Degree Gann Numbers (DGN) is precisely a concept that assigns a specific set of numbers to a particular asset(stock/index/commodity/currency).

So where we will get these Gann Degree Numbers?

Gann Degree Numbers - Where to Find them?

W. D. Gann talked about the concept of Square of Nine. We get our Degree Gann Numbers from this table.  Lines are passing through midpoint (shown in yellow colour) that identifies numbers falling on particular degrees. 
So we have eight significant degrees 45/90/135/180/225/270/325/360. Degree 45 and 225 falls in the same line. So for simplicity, we consider all numbers under 45 and 225 degrees as 45-degree nos. Same we apply to other pairs. So now we get 4 degrees of numbers, 45/90/135/180.

So numbers belong to 45-degree are 1-3-7-13 and so on. We can expand these much higher numbers for index.

Next, we will discuss how to apply these degree numbers to assets.

Applying Gann Degree Numbers to Asset

Now you have 4 degrees and numbers associated with each of this degree. So far, the question is how to use them on an asset to help us trade that asset?

Study chart of stock/index/commodity you want to apply for degree numbers. Find out names from a degree where this asset takes to support or resistance more often. Apply that degree to that asset. Here I am attaching the chart Auropharma that follows135-degree numbers.

 

 

Now you found a degree for stock and applied numbers to chart. What Next?

Use of Degree Numbers on Asset

We got a chart of stock ready with Gann Degree Numbers. These numbers can be used for finding targets for the trade, as a reference point for Stop Loss / Trailing Stop Loss.

Suppose we found that a stock of 135-degree is taking support at 289 (289 is itself particular Gann No) level then we can look for up-move target-1 as 325 and target-2 as 361 as these are next numbers in 135-degree after 289. Here is a chart of AXISBANK, who perfectly followed Gann Degree Numbers.

It could be of some help in trading as you have a better understanding of possible targets.

It is just a fundamental understanding of Gann Degree Numbers. There is much more to it. The same asset class can have 3-digit/4-digit/5-digit separate Gann Degree Numbers if it is highly-priced and also we can use it differently for intraday or positional trade.

 

Gann Methods

The Gann Degree Numbers is just a small concept in the universe of Gann methods. Gann Angles is one of the most powerful tools that give us an edge in trading. Gann gave more importance to time, and hence Gann's concept of Price Time Square is one of the most exciting concepts traders fraternity is curious about.

 

I have researched on Gann Angles for four years to find how I can use them to find an impulsive move (I trade in Futures and options and hence look for fast trade).  The Gann methods help in finding an excellent deal set up with a good risk-reward ratio.

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Lesson Posted on 27/12/2019 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading

DOJI

Abhishek Bansal

I am full time stock trader from last 10 years, I have done M.TECH in Mathematics and Computation from...

DOJI: Doji is a candle session where the opening and closing price are the same. Traders may get so excited about seeing a Doji they jump on it as a trading signal. But don't make more of the Doji than it is meant to show. A Doji means the trend may be in the process of changing. The market is vulnerable... read more

DOJI: Doji is a candle session where the opening and closing price are the same.

Traders may get so excited about seeing a Doji they jump on it as a trading signal. But don't make more of the Doji than it is meant to show. A Doji means the trend may be in the process of changing. The market is vulnerable and maybe at a transition point.

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Lesson Posted on 27/12/2019 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Intraday Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Technical Analysis +1 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading less

What makes more profits and lesser losses? Buying of options or selling of options?

Supriya Tarapure

Ex software engineer (Cognizant and Emerson). Now a Full time Trader & Investor. Stock Market analyst...

People think there are two types of trends; Up-trend and down-trend. And the biggest trade mistake is committed to this wrong concept. In fact, there are not two but three trends: 1. Up Trend 2. Down Trend & 3. Sideways Trend Option buyer makes money only when price moves in his trade direction... read more

People think there are two types of trends; Up-trend and down-trend. And the biggest trade mistake is committed to this wrong concept.

In fact, there are not two but three trends:

1. Up Trend

2. Down Trend &

3. Sideways Trend

Option buyer makes money only when price moves in his trade direction and loses when the trend is in the opposite direction and sideways. So buyer's winning possibility is just 33.33% and losing possibility is 66.66%.

On the other hand, the option seller makes money when the trend is in his direction as well as during a sideways trend. So the seller's winning possibility is bigger, 66.66% and losing possibility are lesser which is 33.33%.

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Lesson Posted on 01/06/2019 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading

Hidden Reality Of Trading

Krishna Kotale

I am a full time trader specialized in Intraday and Positional trading. I had the chance to start trading...

Lack of Methodology If you aim to be a consistently successful trader, then you must have a defined trading methodology. A simple, clear, and concise way of looking at markets. Having a method is so essential that EWI founder Robert Prechter put it at the top of his list in his essay, "What a Trader... read more

Lack of Methodology

If you aim to be a consistently successful trader, then you must have a defined trading methodology. A simple, clear, and concise way of looking at markets. Having a method is so essential that EWI founder Robert Prechter put it at the top of his list in his essay, "What a Trader Needs to Be Successful." Guessing or going by gut instinct won't work over the long run. If you don't have a defined trading methodology, then you don't have a way to know what constitutes a buy or sell signal. How do you overcome this problem? The answer to this question is to write down your methodology. Define in writing what your analytical tools are and, more important, how you use them. It doesn't matter whether you use the Wave Principle, point and figure charts, stochastics, RSI, or a combination of all of these. What does matter is that you make an effort to define what constitutes a buy, a sell, your trailing stop, and instructions on exiting a position? The best hint I can give you about setting your trading

Just think about it.

If you always cut winning trades early, how will your losses be covered?
The truth is that both size & consistency of your profits is what matters.
Because, remember, to be profitable in the long run, you need your profits to be bigger than your losses.
Hence, you want to maximize every winner and cut short every losing trade.
One of the best & proven methods to let your winners run is trend following.
If you are riding waves of a trend, until it bends, you have no reason to close your position.
On the other side, the same traders lose a much more significant amount of money by fighting trends through averaging down their entries.

Also, many people get hooked up to trading because of lifestyle being associated with it, but the truth is that to make money - you need money.
It is not the game where broke people suddenly become rich overnight.
Starting undercapitalized will highly increase your odds of failure.
This because various fees may add up and eat significant per cent of your gains.
Not trying to discourage anyone, but if you have 1000Rs, 3000Rs you plan to turn into "big money magically", just don't - it won't work.
Just keep saving and focus more on learning the game.
Study the markets, observe the price action, watch how tickers move, try to identify repetitive patterns.
Without doing this for months, you have no business to look for.

Everybody can learn the rules. If trading were only about the laws of the game, then everybody would be successful. 90% of traders lose money.

Why?

The main reason is that they have the wrong MINDSET.
Having rules and respecting them are two different things. Many people fail at the second one. It is because they have lack the discipline and ability to control themselves. Fear and greed get inside them, which causes them to make wrong decisions. It is why if you want to be a successful trader, you have to realize it is YOU vs YOU game and keep working on yourself and your mindset daily.

Lack of Discipline

Once you have clearly outlined and identified your trading methodology, you must have the discipline to follow the system. A lack of control while trading is the second common downfall of many aspiring traders. If the way you view a price chart or evaluate a potential trade setup today is different from how you did it a month ago, then you either have not identified your methodology you lack the discipline to follow the method you have designated. The formula for success is to apply proven methods consistently.

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Answered on 12/05/2019 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading

Kushal Jain

Tutor

Hi generating monthly income from trading and investing requires discipline and skill. First of all, create a trading system that has good risk reward and also has decent accuracy. make sure that out of 10 trades you take using a system at least more than 5 should be in your favour. and Risk reward... read more

Hi generating monthly income from trading and investing requires discipline and skill.

First of all, create a trading system that has good risk reward and also has decent accuracy.

make sure that out of 10 trades you take using a system at least more than 5 should be in your favour. and Risk reward is greater than 1:1.5

be more discipline and learn to accept mistakes and you will definitely succeed.

We conduct a lot of free seminar on explaining how to create a good system for consistent profit you can contact my team and attend one such free session to learn more.

www.purpletrades.com

 

I hope this will help you

cheers

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Lesson Posted on 02/05/2018 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Technical Analysis

Stock Market Sentiment Analysis

Pradeep Muthappa

I provide training in Chart Analysis and Options Trading. I am an expert Futures and Options Trader....

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Lesson Posted on 12/10/2017 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Intraday Trading +2 Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Commodities Trading less

Great Stock Market Trading Lesson

Hanamant Kullur

I am a Professional Trader, Trainer and Technical Analyst with more than 4+ years experience. I do Teach...

Trend following is motivated by a very broad interpretation of the universe. The underlying belief is that economic systems adjust to changes in fundamentals gradually and over long periods of time, and that the consequent trends are evident everywhere in human history and commerce. Political, economic,... read more
Trend following is motivated by a very broad interpretation of the universe. The underlying belief is that economic systems adjust to changes in fundamentals gradually and over long periods of time, and that the consequent trends are evident everywhere in human history and commerce. Political, economic, and social regime changes trigger price adjustments in markets that don’t happen instantaneously. For example, the growth and decline of the Roman Empire took place, not in a day, but over hundreds of years. A major problem, of course, is that markets don’t move from one state to another in a straight line: There are periods of countertrend shock and volatility. We spend most of our time trying to find ways to deal with those unsettling but inevitable events. That being said, it is really not difficult to put together a simple trendfollowing system that can generate positive returns over a realistic holding period and there are many, many commercial systems that have been generating strong, albeit volatile, returns for a long time. So there are definitely firm grounds for believing in Santa Claus.
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Lesson Posted on 17/02/2017 Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Fundamental Analysis +7 Financial Planning/Stock Market Investment/Technical Analysis Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Commodities Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Derivatives Trading Financial Planning/Stock Market Trading/Intraday Trading Functional Training/Finance Training Tuition/BCom Tuition Tuition/BCom Tuition/Stock and Commodity Markets less

How to be a Successful Trader in Stock Market and Commodity Market ?

Trading Coach

Learn from Real life professional Trader with 10+ years of experience in trading and investing on markets....

What does it takes successful Trader? Is it Possible to be a Successful Trader? What are the ways to be a successful trader in stock market? Well, many traders both experienced and novice players often find themselves asking these questions either to themselves or to others! If you’re one of them,... read more

What does it takes successful Trader? Is it Possible to be a Successful Trader? What are the ways to be a successful trader in stock market? Well, many traders both experienced and novice players often find themselves asking these questions either to themselves or to others! If you’re one of them, you haven’t understood trading till now! Read on to know why!

Successful Stock market trading and Stock market Investment

 

Successful trading requires peace of mind which comes from following few mandatory Psychological principles. It is one of the most profitable as well as a risky profession which calls for occasional mental agony, can lead to multiple failures and success. It is mandatory for a trader to be calm and confidence while trading. We can say its all mindset and trading edge that dictates Success! 

We can achieve the right mindset by following these factors: 

Implement Real Life Situation In Trading

Mostly, the worst decisions we take in our lives are the ones taken while we think extremes. In markets, it is quite similar. Overconfidence or lack of confidence leaves the trader in losses. The trader must understand the edge he or she has while trading and if the edge is not present they must not trade.

It is not mandatory to trade every day (even if you’re a Day trader). Traders must seek the edge, reap profit from the opportunity present in the market, and sit back for a while till the next opportunity arrives. This process will also help in avoiding losses and provides peace of mind.

"Success in trading and life comes from knowing your edge, pressing it when you have the opportunity and sitting back when that edge is no longer present. The worst decisions, in life and markets, come from extremes: overconfidence and a lack of confidence.”

Don’t be Addicted To Trading or Investing

Addiction to trading is a common mental issue seen in many traders and sometimes it goes to such an extent that professional help is needed. A trader can be called as addicted to his business when he becomes irresponsible to his health issues, family matters, financial responsibilities; all he wants and needs is to trade.

This causes heavy turmoil in family life as well as in the trading business because mostly this addiction comes from “making up for the losses” mentality, neglecting work-life balance etc.

Balancing between Trading, Life and Work

Maintain Trading-Life Balance

Social connection is mandatory to avoid a situation like trading addiction. It is necessary to maintain proper work-life balance. Work-life balance can be defined as a fine line between maintaining healthy personal life and professional career. With technology taking on personal relationship and space, traders are forming an emotional attachment with their business which in turn becomes an addiction.

Traders need to spend time for leisure activities and personal things. When there is no such work-life balance, the trader mostly losses the concentration and his or her productivity decreases over time which can result in losses.

“There are times when trading becomes a vehicle for destroying mind and soul. An addiction occurs when an activity provides a strong source of stimulation that, over time, leads to psychological and sometimes physical dependence.”

Consider Trading as a Performance activity

To be successful in trading business, a trader must be a performer like a chess player. He should focus more on his practice than actual performance; better performance will come from proper practice and determination. Trader must spend time in analyzing historic Price action of the stocks; fundamental analysis has to be carried on to know the intrinsic value that is the right price of the share. The trader should also spend time on practicing the strategies and analyzing them before implementing them directly into trades.

Practice and Performance is necessary to succeed

The trader must also realize where he is going wrong and how to change his strategies or the process of trading. Learning new strategies is always helpful, continuous knowledge about the markets are mandatory for successful trading. The trader must accept changes to become a successful trader. He should interact with other traders, professionals, analysts to gain knowledge which in turn will help him in trading.

"High ratio of time spent in practice/rehearsal relative to actual performance”  

Like any other sport or performance activity, trading must be done with discipline. The trader must have a proper schedule for every activity like weekly analysis of the fundamentals, tracing changes over a week or month in shares he has invested etc. Discipline along with practice is the key to better performance as a trader. 

Follow these guidelines, to be a successful trader or Investor in stock market and Commodity market. If you like the article, Please kindly share it with your friends - "Knowledge is worth spreading "

Source: www.tradingcoach.co.in                           

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